Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.994926e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009
2025-04-20 4.208137e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011
2025-04-27 3.702919e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013
2025-05-04 3.271469e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000016
2025-05-11 2.959116e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018
2025-05-18 2.682177e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2025-05-25 2.466907e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025
2025-06-01 2.238849e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028
2025-06-08 2.075630e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000032
2025-06-15 1.944714e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000037
2025-06-22 1.792754e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000040
2025-06-29 1.674471e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000045
2025-07-06 1.543712e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000050
2025-07-13 1.454485e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000057
2025-07-20 1.390532e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000026 0.000067
2025-07-27 1.317887e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000013 0.000028 0.000077
2025-08-03 1.262022e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000031 0.000090
2025-08-10 1.202307e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000033 0.000103
2025-08-17 1.153000e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000036 0.000120
2025-08-24 1.088291e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000037 0.000132
2025-08-31 1.041904e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000040 0.000152
2025-09-07 1.003407e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000043 0.000176
2025-09-14 9.503898e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000044 0.000193